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Financial Projections Narrative

Interview first Has example

Explain a 3-year forecast in plain terms with assumptions.

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Help me write the narrative that explains my financial projections, but interview me first so the story matches the numbers. Ask one question at a time and wait: (1) the business model and how it earns money, (2) the biggest assumptions in the forecast (price, volume, growth rate, cost per unit), (3) the evidence for each assumption, (4) the timing of hires, equipment, and other large costs, (5) when I expect to break even and how much funding that needs, and (6) the biggest risks and what I would do about them.

My forecast figures: [FORECAST_SUMMARY_NUMBERS].

After the interview, write a three-year projections narrative of about 350 words for a business plan, in plain language: how revenue is built up (units times price or customers times value), how costs behave (fixed and variable), margins, cash needs and timing, break-even, and key sensitivities. Include a separate table of assumptions with Assumption | Value | Evidence | Confidence. Add two "what if" sentences for a worse case. Use only my numbers, mark invented ones as [VERIFY], and avoid hockey-stick language that the assumptions cannot support.

Treat all figures and conclusions as estimates built only from the inputs I gave. This is not accounting, tax, legal or investment advice. Have a qualified accountant or financial adviser who knows [JURISDICTION] verify the output before you rely on it.

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Year 1 revenue of 180,000 assumes 60 customers paying 250 a month for an average of 12 months (60 x 250 x 12 = 180,000); we have 14 customers today, so this requires adding about 4 customers a month [CONFIRM]. Variable cost is 22% of revenue (hosting and payment fees); fixed costs are 9,000 a month (two salaries and tools). Gross margin therefore stays near 78%. We expect break-even in month 11, requiring 45,000 of funding to cover the early loss. The biggest sensitivity is customer growth: at 3 customers a month, break-even moves to month 16.
Assumptions table: Assumption | Value | Evidence | Confidence
Monthly price | 250 | 14 current customers | High
New customers a month | 4 | Last 3 months: 3, 5, 4 | Medium

• forecast
• funding